El Niño 2026–2027

Independent, plain-language answers on this cycle's tropical Pacific warming and what it means for you.

I cover ENSO outlooks from NOAA, IRI, JMA, WMO and ECMWF, plus TMP regional summaries for 20+ areas affected by El Niño / La Niña. Ask me about the forecast, what to expect where you live, or how this event compares to past ones.

Data is current through 2026-07-12.